Factbox-Some trades ahead of Trump policy moves raise questions

try{ var _=i o; . if(!_||_&&typeof _==="object"&&_.expiry Street Calls of the Week Expert says the upcoming week will be a pivotal moment in the Iran war. Here’s why U.S. tech pullback mirrors late stages of dotcom era, strategists say S&P 500: Goldman Sachs says this is the key question in Q2 (South Africa Philippines Nigeria) Factbox-Some trades ahead of Trump policy moves raise questions By Stock Markets Published 03/29/2026, 06:11 AM Updated 03/29/2026, 06:12 AM Factbox-Some trades ahead of Trump policy moves raise questions 1 US500 -1.67% SPY -1.71% LCO 3.37% CL 5.46% TYM26 -0.02% DJUSAR -4.18% By Utkarsh Shetti March 29 - Some of U.S. President Donald Trump’s major policy decisions have been preceded by well-timed bets, leading some experts to raise questions about whether information had somehow leaked ahead of time. Here is a list. March 23, 2026 - IRAN ATTACK PAUSE: An unidentified trader or traders bet $500 million on Brent and WTI crude futures in a one-minute period shortly before Trump announced a five-day delay to attacks ‌on Iran’s energy infrastructure, after which oil prices crashed 15%, exchange data and Reuters calculations showed. LSEG data shows 5,100 lots changed hands between 1049 and 1050 GMT, with selling dominating volume. When Trump’s social media post announcing the move hit at 1105 GMT, over 13,000 lots — equivalent to 13 million barrels — traded in 60 seconds, causing Brent to fall to $99 per barrel from $112 and sending WTI down to $86 per barrel from $99. February 28, 2026 - IRAN STRIKES THAT KILLED SUPREME LEADER AYATOLLAH ALI KHAMENEI Wagers placed on platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi before the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei intensified scrutiny of prediction markets, with Democratic lawmakers calling for a ban on bets tied to military actions that could reward those with privileged information. According to a Reuters review of Polymarket’s website at the time, about $529 million was wagered on a r...