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More Than $116 Million Has Already Been Bet on the Oscars — and It’s Only Friday Afternoon
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More Than $116 Million Has Already Been Bet on the Oscars — and It’s Only Friday Afternoon

#Oscars #betting #wagering #gambling #entertainment #awards #revenue #ceremony

📌 Key Takeaways

  • Over $116 million wagered on Oscars by Friday afternoon
  • Betting volume indicates high public interest in awards outcomes
  • Significant financial stakes involved in entertainment industry event
  • Timing suggests peak betting may still be ahead of ceremony

📖 Full Retelling

Prediction-markets websites Kalshi and Polymarket are fielding a lot of action on Sunday's Academy Awards — but how accurate are they?

🏷️ Themes

Entertainment Betting, Awards Season

📚 Related People & Topics

More Than

More Than (styled as MORE TH>N) is an insurance company based in the United Kingdom. Having previously provided car, home and travel insurance before exiting those markets in 2024, More Than currently only offers pet insurance. Its business arm More Than BUSINESS offered business insurance.

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Academy Awards

Annual awards for cinematic achievements

The Academy Awards, commonly known as the Oscars, are awards for artistic and technical merit in film. They are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) in the United States in recognition of excellence in cinematic achievements, as assessed by the Academy's voti...

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More Than

More Than (styled as MORE TH>N) is an insurance company based in the United Kingdom. Having previous

Academy Awards

Annual awards for cinematic achievements

Deep Analysis

Why It Matters

This news highlights the massive financial scale of entertainment betting, showing how award shows have evolved into major gambling events. It affects the entertainment industry by creating new revenue streams and marketing opportunities, while also impacting viewers who now have financial stakes in outcomes. The significant betting volume demonstrates how cultural events are increasingly monetized through gambling platforms, raising questions about potential conflicts of interest and the integrity of award shows.

Context & Background

  • Sports betting was legalized at the federal level in the U.S. in 2018, allowing states to regulate it individually
  • Entertainment betting has grown rapidly since 2020, with awards shows becoming popular betting markets
  • The Oscars have faced declining viewership in recent years, dropping from over 40 million viewers in 2014 to under 20 million in recent ceremonies
  • Betting on entertainment events represents a new frontier for gambling companies seeking to expand beyond traditional sports markets

What Happens Next

Betting volumes will likely continue increasing through Sunday's ceremony, potentially setting new records for entertainment betting. After the awards, gambling platforms will analyze betting patterns and payouts, while industry observers will examine whether betting influenced viewer engagement. Regulatory bodies may review entertainment betting practices if concerns arise about potential manipulation or conflicts of interest.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is betting on the Oscars legal everywhere?

No, entertainment betting legality varies by jurisdiction. While some U.S. states allow it through licensed sportsbooks, other states and countries prohibit betting on award shows. Bettors should check local regulations before participating.

What categories do people bet on most?

Best Picture typically attracts the most betting action, followed by major acting categories. Some books also offer prop bets on specific moments like acceptance speech length or fashion choices, though these represent smaller portions of total volume.

How does this affect the Oscars ceremony itself?

Increased betting may boost viewership as people watch to see if their bets pay off, potentially reversing recent ratings declines. However, it also creates ethical questions about whether financial interests could influence voting or create perception issues.

Who benefits from Oscar betting?

Sportsbooks and gambling platforms earn revenue through commissions, while states with legal betting collect taxes. The entertainment industry may benefit from increased engagement, though some argue it commercializes artistic recognition.

Are there concerns about betting influencing Oscar outcomes?

While the Academy's voting process is designed to be secure, large betting volumes create theoretical incentives for manipulation. Most experts consider direct outcome manipulation unlikely due to the large, diverse voting body, but perception issues remain.

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Original Source
Share on Facebook Share on X Google Preferred Share to Flipboard Show additional share options Share on LinkedIn Share on Pinterest Share on Reddit Share on Tumblr Share on Whats App Send an Email Print the Article Post a Comment As of 1 p.m. ET on Friday, March 13, 2026, $54.8 million had been bet on the Oscars on prediction-market website Kashi. At about the same hour, on competitor Polymarket , $61.4 million was already on the line . Bets will grow “exponentially” over the weekend, a Kalshi rep tells The Hollywood Reporter . Among the top prop bets on Kalshi, “ Who will attend the Oscars? ” has a lot of action. There, you can choose the locks, like Heated Rivalry star Hudson Williams (he’s already been reported as attending , for some reason), One Battle After Another star Leonardo DiCaprio, or Kylie Jenner, who is Timothée Chalamet’s ( Marty Supreme ) partner. Related Stories Lifestyle Top Stylists Spill Secrets on the "Style Arc" of Awards Season Movies Chadwick Boseman's Widow Shares Acceptance Speech She Would Have Given Had He Won Oscar Zendaya is another probable attendant, perhaps as a presenter or to support partner Tom Holland in his Marvel Cinematic Universe reunion — or both. Sean Penn ( One Battle After Another ), Olivia Jade (Jacob Elordi’s partner), Hailee Steinfeld (not a nominee, but a star of the heavily-nominated Sinners ), Ryan Gosling, Margot Robbie, Connor Storrie ( Heated Rivalry ), Kevin Hart, and Taylor Swift are less likely seat fillers, in exactly that descending order. A newer market has opened on Kalshi covering what Academy Awards host Conan O’Brien will mention from the stage. “Hollywood” and Chalamet are the slam dunks, with Netflix, Warner Bros., and AI all more likely than not to be uttered. Hulu, “podcast,” Jeffrey Epstein, President Trump, ICE, and Will Smith are also on the board, with probabilities lowering respectively. You’ll remember why Smith might be somewhat top of mind each time the Oscars come back around. The awards-a...
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