On Ukraine's Battlefield, Russia Has Lost Ground, Experts Say. But Don't Expect A Major Reversal For Kyiv.
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The findings do not appear to signal a wholesale turning of the tides in the Ukraine war. But they do highlight a growing consensus that Russia’s war on Ukraine -- now in its fifth year -- has ground to a near stalemate.
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Ukraine On Ukraine's Battlefield, Russia Has Lost Ground, Experts Say. But Don't Expect A Major Reversal For Kyiv. By Mike Eckel March 03, 2026 17:29 CET On Ukraine's Battlefield, Russia Has Lost Ground, Experts Say. But Don't Expect A Major Reversal For Kyiv. Share Share Print For the first time in at least two years, Russian forces appear to have lost territory in Ukraine, according to battlefield experts and open-source researchers, as Ukrainian forces eke out small battlefield gains and push back Russian troops. The findings, reported by DeepState , an open-source group with ties to the Ukrainian military, and Black Bird Group , a Finnish research organization, do not appear to signal a wholesale turning of the tides in the Ukraine war, now in its fifth year since Russia's full-scale invasion. But they do highlight a growing consensus that Russia's war has ground to a near stalemate, with Moscow unable to decisively achieve its goals and Kyiv unable to push out Russia's invading forces. SEE ALSO: 'Ukraine Is Not Losing, Russia Is Not Winning': Amid Push For Peace, Here's How Things Look On The Battlefield Russia appears to still have a slight upper hand across most of the 1,100-kilometer front line. In Pokrovsk, for example, Russian forces have occupied the southern Donbas city almost entirely after a grueling, yearlong campaign. The most intense combat is currently concentrated on the city's northern edges. Ukraine has yet to acknowledge the loss of the city. But the Russian gains have also been incremental: By some estimates, Russian forces are advancing at a pace measured in just meters, on par with the most grueling trench warfare during World War I. For their part, Ukrainian forces are exhausted, outmanned, and in many places outgunned. Porous defenses in some parts of the front line have given Russian troops the opportunity to race past pockets of Ukrainian positions, using motorcycles or all-terrain vehicles -- often at great toll. SEE ALSO: Pipeline Drea...
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