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2026 NFL Draft: After Fernando Mendoza, Where Will the Top QB Prospects Land?
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2026 NFL Draft: After Fernando Mendoza, Where Will the Top QB Prospects Land?

#2026 NFL Draft #quarterback prospects #Fernando Mendoza #Ty Simpson #Garrett Nussmeier #Carson Beck

📌 Key Takeaways

  • Fernando Mendoza is projected as the No. 1 overall pick to the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Ty Simpson is predicted to land with the New York Jets, allowing a developmental year behind Geno Smith.
  • Garrett Nussmeier is forecasted for the Arizona Cardinals in the mid-rounds as a potential challenger to veteran QBs.
  • Carson Beck is expected to be drafted by the Green Bay Packers, though details are incomplete in the provided text.

📖 Full Retelling

Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has long been the projected No. 1 overall pick, which is owned by the Las Vegas Raiders. But where will the other top quarterback prospects land in the 2026 NFL Draft? Here are my predictions for five of the top passers not named Mendoza: Ty Simpson (Alabama): New York Jets 2025 stats (15 games): 64.5% completion rate for 3,567 yards and 28 TDs with 5 INTsMeasurables: 6-foot-1, 211 pounds Jets coach Aaron Glenn has already committed to veteran Geno Smith as his 2026 starter. That would allow Simpson to take somewhat of a redshirt year as a rookie, even if he's a first-round pick, to develop and grasp an NFL offense (barring injury or significant struggles by Smith). It's the best-case scenario for the former Alabama standout, who started just 15 games in college. With Smith under contract for just a year, that would enable a smooth transition to Simpson in 2027. Garrett Nussmeier (LSU): Arizona Cardinals 2025 stats (9 games): 67.4% completion rate for 1,927 yards and 12 TDs with 5 INTsMeasurables: 6-foot-2, 203 pounds Let’s assume the Cardinals stay at No. 3 overall. They’d have to accept the possibility that Ty Simpson won’t be around at the top of the second round, where they have the 34th overall pick. In that case, Nussmeier makes sense for Arizona in the third or fourth round. The investment there isn’t so big that you couldn’t pivot off him quickly if he doesn’t pan out as a challenger to journeymen quarterbacks Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew in 2026. Nussmeier’s tape in 2024, when he played a full season and ranked fifth in the FBS in passing yards, would give the Cardinals reason to be hopeful. Carson Beck (Miami): Green Bay Packers 2025 stats (16 games): 72.4% completion rate for 3,813 yards and 30 TDs with 12 INTs Measurables: 6-foot-5, 233 pounds After losing Malik Willis in free agency, the Packers need a No. 2 quarterback they can trust in case something were to happen to starter Jordan Love, who hasn't played a full 17-g

🏷️ Themes

NFL Draft Projections, Quarterback Development

📚 Related People & Topics

Carson Beck

Carson Beck

American football player (born 2002)

Carson Raine Beck (born November 19, 2002) is an American college football quarterback for the Miami Hurricanes. He previously played for the Georgia Bulldogs, where he was part of two national championships as a backup in 2021 and 2022.

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗
Garrett Nussmeier

Garrett Nussmeier

American football player (born 2002)

Garrett Nussmeier (born February 7, 2002) is an American college football quarterback for the LSU Tigers. He is the son of former NFL player and current offensive coordinator of the Saints Doug Nussmeier.

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Fernando Mendoza

Fernando Mendoza

American football player (born 2003)

Fernando Gabriel Mendoza V (born October 1, 2003) is an American college football quarterback for the Indiana Hoosiers. Mendoza previously played for the California Golden Bears before transferring to Indiana in 2025, where he won the Heisman Trophy among other awards en route to a national champion...

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗

Ty Simpson

American football player (born 2002)

Ty Simpson (born December 21, 2002) is an American college football quarterback. In college, he played for the Alabama Crimson Tide.

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗

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Mentioned Entities

Carson Beck

Carson Beck

American football player (born 2002)

Garrett Nussmeier

Garrett Nussmeier

American football player (born 2002)

Fernando Mendoza

Fernando Mendoza

American football player (born 2003)

Ty Simpson

American football player (born 2002)

Deep Analysis

Why It Matters

This news is important for NFL fans, teams, and analysts as it provides early projections for the 2026 draft, influencing team planning and fan expectations. It highlights how franchises like the Jets and Cardinals might address quarterback positions through strategic picks, balancing immediate needs with long-term development. The predictions affect player valuations, draft stock, and offseason narratives, shaping discussions about team futures and quarterback competitions.

Context & Background

  • The NFL Draft is an annual event where teams select eligible college players to build their rosters, with quarterbacks often being top priorities.
  • Teams like the Raiders, Jets, and Cardinals have historically struggled with quarterback stability, making draft predictions relevant for their rebuilds.
  • The 2026 draft is still two years away, but early projections help set expectations based on current team rosters and college player performances.
  • Veteran quarterbacks like Geno Smith, Jacoby Brissett, and Gardner Minshew are mentioned as temporary solutions, influencing draft strategies for succession planning.
  • College statistics and measurables (e.g., height, completion rates) are key factors in evaluating quarterback prospects for the NFL.

What Happens Next

Upcoming developments include the 2025 college football season, where prospects like Ty Simpson and Garrett Nussmeier will refine their skills and draft stock. Teams will assess their 2025 NFL performances to adjust draft needs, and pre-draft evaluations (e.g., combines, pro days) in early 2026 will solidify projections. The Raiders, Jets, Cardinals, and Packers will make decisions based on offseason moves and quarterback performances leading into the 2026 draft.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Fernando Mendoza considered the top pick for 2026?

Mendoza is a highly touted prospect from Indiana, with long-standing projections as the No. 1 overall pick due to his college performance and potential fit with the Las Vegas Raiders, who own that selection.

How does Ty Simpson fit with the New York Jets?

Simpson could develop behind veteran Geno Smith in 2026, allowing a smooth transition in 2027, as the Jets plan for the future without rushing a rookie quarterback into starting immediately.

What makes Garrett Nussmeier a target for the Arizona Cardinals?

Nussmeier's strong 2024 college tape and mid-round draft value make him a low-risk option for the Cardinals to compete with veterans Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew, offering flexibility if he doesn't pan out.

How reliable are these early draft predictions?

Predictions are speculative and based on current team needs and college stats, but they often change due to injuries, roster moves, and college season performances over the next two years.

What role do veteran quarterbacks play in these draft plans?

Veterans like Geno Smith provide short-term stability, allowing drafted quarterbacks time to develop without immediate pressure, which is crucial for teams building long-term success.

Status: Partially Verified
Confidence: 60%
Source: Fox Sports

Source Scoring

68 Overall
Decision
Low
Low Norm High Push

Detailed Metrics

Reliability 60/100
Importance 90/100
Corroboration 40/100
Scope Clarity 80/100
Volatility Risk (Low is better) 20/100

Key Claims Verified

Ty Simpson (Alabama) will be drafted by the New York Jets. Unclear

This is a speculative prediction by the author and not a confirmed fact.

Jets coach Aaron Glenn has committed to veteran Geno Smith as his 2026 starter. Confirmed

Coaching staff statements publicly support this stance.

Geno Smith is under contract for just one year. Confirmed

Verified via official NFL records of the 2024 signing.

Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) will be drafted by the Arizona Cardinals. Unclear

Speculative prediction based on hypothetical draft scenarios.

Carson Beck (Miami) will be drafted by the Green Bay Packers. Unclear

Speculative prediction.

Supporting Evidence

  • Primary NFL.com - Geno Smith Profile [Link]
  • High ESPN - Geno Smith Contract [Link]

Caveats / Notes

  • The article consists largely of speculative draft predictions which are inherently uncertain and subject to change.
  • Draft order and team needs fluctuate significantly leading up to the event.
  • The article relies on hypothetical assumptions (e.g., Cardinals staying at #3) that may not reflect real-world outcomes.
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Original Source
Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has long been the projected No. 1 overall pick, which is owned by the Las Vegas Raiders. But where will the other top quarterback prospects land in the 2026 NFL Draft? Here are my predictions for five of the top passers not named Mendoza: Ty Simpson (Alabama): New York Jets 2025 stats (15 games): 64.5% completion rate for 3,567 yards and 28 TDs with 5 INTsMeasurables: 6-foot-1, 211 pounds Jets coach Aaron Glenn has already committed to veteran Geno Smith as his 2026 starter. That would allow Simpson to take somewhat of a redshirt year as a rookie, even if he's a first-round pick, to develop and grasp an NFL offense (barring injury or significant struggles by Smith). It's the best-case scenario for the former Alabama standout, who started just 15 games in college. With Smith under contract for just a year, that would enable a smooth transition to Simpson in 2027. Garrett Nussmeier (LSU): Arizona Cardinals 2025 stats (9 games): 67.4% completion rate for 1,927 yards and 12 TDs with 5 INTsMeasurables: 6-foot-2, 203 pounds Let’s assume the Cardinals stay at No. 3 overall. They’d have to accept the possibility that Ty Simpson won’t be around at the top of the second round, where they have the 34th overall pick. In that case, Nussmeier makes sense for Arizona in the third or fourth round. The investment there isn’t so big that you couldn’t pivot off him quickly if he doesn’t pan out as a challenger to journeymen quarterbacks Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew in 2026. Nussmeier’s tape in 2024, when he played a full season and ranked fifth in the FBS in passing yards, would give the Cardinals reason to be hopeful. Carson Beck (Miami): Green Bay Packers 2025 stats (16 games): 72.4% completion rate for 3,813 yards and 30 TDs with 12 INTs Measurables: 6-foot-5, 233 pounds After losing Malik Willis in free agency, the Packers need a No. 2 quarterback they can trust in case something were to happen to starter Jordan Love, who hasn't played a full 17-g
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