A Weakened Iran Won’t Transform the Middle East
A defeated Iran will not produce the transformation of the Middle East sought by many.
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However long it takes, Operation Epic Fury will undoubtedly end with something the United States and Israel will call a win. Iran’s military will suffer major setbacks. Its political leadership will be eroded. Its stores of ballistic missiles and drones will be depleted. Its capacity to rebuild a nuclear enrichment program with the prospect of early weaponization will be set back. Its ability to act aggressively in the region via proxies will be severely diminished. These achievements — given the threats to regional stability, Israel and the United States that Iran has posed since 1979 — will be important.
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