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New York Fed's Williams says tariff burden falls 'overwhelmingly' on U.S. businesses and consumers
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New York Fed's Williams says tariff burden falls 'overwhelmingly' on U.S. businesses and consumers

#Tariffs #New York Fed #John Williams #Inflation #Trade War #Federal Reserve #Economic Policy #Consumer Prices

📌 Key Takeaways

  • New York Fed President John Williams stated tariffs are overwhelmingly borne by U.S. businesses and consumers
  • New York Fed analysis found 90% of tariff costs passed to domestic producers and consumers
  • Tariffs have contributed 0.5-0.75 percentage points to current 3% inflation rate
  • Tariff impact is temporarily stalling Fed's progress toward 2% inflation target

📖 Full Retelling

New York Federal Reserve President John Williams stated Tuesday in Washington, D.C. that President Donald Trump's tariffs are overwhelmingly being borne by American businesses and consumers, directly countering White House claims that foreign exporters would absorb the costs. 'The tariffs have overwhelmingly been borne domestically — a New York Fed analysis estimates that most of the burden has fallen on U.S. firms and consumers,' Williams said during a conference, emphasizing that the full effects of the tariffs have likely not yet been felt. The remarks came amid controversy over a New York Fed white paper which found that as much as 90% of the added cost from tariffs has been passed on to domestic producers and consumers, prompting National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett to criticize the research as 'the worst paper I've ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve system' before later stepping back from that statement. Williams further explained that not only are tariffs being felt domestically, but they are also preventing the Federal Reserve from reaching its 2% inflation goal, estimating that tariffs have contributed around one half to three quarters of a percentage point to the current inflation rate of about 3 percent. Despite these challenges, Williams expressed optimism that the tariff impact on inflation will be temporary, with the Fed still expected to hit its target by 2027, while noting that the U.S. economy 'appears to be on a good footing' and that current monetary policy is 'well positioned' to achieve the Fed's dual mandate.

🏷️ Themes

Trade Policy, Economic Impact, Monetary Policy

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Original Source
American consumers and businesses are taking most of the hit from President Donald Trump's tariffs, New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said Tuesday in remarks that counter White House claims. "The tariffs have overwhelmingly been borne domestically — a New York Fed analysis estimates that most of the burden has fallen on U.S. firms and consumers.," Williams said in remarks for a conference in Washington, D.C. "In addition, the tariffs have already meaningfully increased U.S. prices of imported goods, and the full effects have likely not yet been felt." The study Williams cited has generated a fair amount of controversy over the past few weeks. In a white paper published on the New York Fed's website, a team of researchers found that as much as 90% of the added cost from tariffs has been passed on to domestic producers and consumers. Trump and other White House officials had insisted that exporters would absorb the costs rather than raise prices. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett flamed the controversy during a CNBC appearance in which he suggested that the researchers should be "disciplined" for what he termed was "the worst paper I've ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve system." Hassett later stepped back the criticism. Addressing the issue for the first time publicly, Williams said that not only were the tariffs being felt at home, but they also were keeping the Fed from reaching its 2% inflation goal . "My current estimate is that, to date, the increase in tariffs has contributed around one half to three quarters of a percentage point to the current inflation rate of about 3 percent," he said. "The FOMC defines price stability as 2 percent inflation over the longer run. Owing to the effects of tariffs, progress toward that goal has temporarily stalled." On the bright side, Williams said he still expects the tariff impact on inflation to be temporary, and he sees the Fed hitting its target by 2027. He added that the U.S. ec...
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