PL Predictions: Man Utd to end Bournemouth's unbeaten run

Analysis Premier League predictions and best bets: Manchester United to end Bournemouth's unbeaten run on Friday Night Football Watch Everton vs Chelsea, Leeds vs Brentford, Newcastle vs Sunderland, Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa vs West Ham & Arsenal vs Manchester City (Carabao Cup final) all live on Sky Sports; Play Super 6 to win £250,000! Lewis Jones Football Journalist Thursday 19 March 2026 23:14, UK Our football betting expert Jones Knows offers his insight across the weekend action and tips up a 7/1 treble. Bournemouth vs Manchester United, Friday 8pm, live on Sky Sports Got Sky? Watch Premier League games LIVE on your phone 📱 No Sky? Get Sky Sports or stream with no contract on NOW 📺 Bournemouth are supposedly a tough nut to crack right now as they are unbeaten in 11 across all competitions if you only look at 90-minute results. Impressive on the surface, sure. But dig a little deeper and the warning signs are flashing. The underlying data is screaming regression. Across their last five matches vs Everton, West Ham, Sunderland, Brentford and Burnley, Bournemouth have allowed chances worth 9.44 expected goals. That's an overperformance of around 7.5 goals on the two they've actually conceded. You're essentially looking at a team giving up chances at a rate of 1.9 expected goals against per 90 to sides operating below top-eight level. This has the look of a game where the numbers catch up with Bournemouth. United to win makes plenty of appeal and coupling that with over 1.5 goals brings out a 11/8 shot to attack with Sky Bet. SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Manchester United to win & under 1.5 goals (11/8 with Sky Bet) Brighton vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm There's plenty of noise around this awkward Wednesday-to-12.30pm kick-off turnaround: the lack of preparation time, the early start, the supposed disadvantage. It's one of those narratives that gets repeated so often it starts to feel like fact. But the numbers tell a very di...