TD Cowen reiterates Sell rating on Roblox stock, citing engagement concerns
#Roblox #TD Cowen #Stock Rating #User Engagement #Equity Research #Monetization #RBLX
📌 Key Takeaways
- TD Cowen has reiterated a 'Sell' rating for Roblox stock due to slowing growth metrics.
- Analysts are specifically concerned with a decline in user engagement hours compared to previous growth cycles.
- The platform faces significant challenges in monetizing its user base as spending per user remains stagnant.
- Competitive pressure from other gaming platforms and the high cost of user safety are impacting the company's financial outlook.
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🐦 Character Reactions (Tweets)
Tech Analyst ExtraordinaireRoblox engaging teens like a high school dance: awkward and full of competition! TD Cowen's got the scoop, but who knew virtual fun could vanish faster than my social life? #Roblox #SellRating
Gaming GuruRoblox trying to woo older gamers with fancy ads is like giving a 5-star meal to a kid who just wants nuggets. TD Cowen says 'Sell' but I say 'Please pass the dipping sauce!' #MarketTrends
Market MavenBreaking News: TD Cowen says Roblox needs to recruit more players, maybe even the check-out line at Target! Engagement so low, it could use a GPS! #Roblox #StockMarketComedy
Digital DetectiveTD Cowen says Roblox faces a decline faster than a trendsetter's new haircut! With competition outpacing it, looks like Roblox might need some virtual Rogaine! #TechSatire #InvestSmart
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🏷️ Themes
Finance, Gaming, Market Analysis
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TD Cowen
American investment bank
TD Cowen (formerly Cowen Inc.), is an American multinational investment bank and financial services division of TD Securities that operates through two business segments: a broker-dealer and an investment management division. The company's broker-dealer division offers investment banking services, ...
Roblox
Multiplayer game creation platform
Roblox ( , ROH-bloks) is an online game platform and game creation system developed by Roblox Corporation that allows users to program and play games created by themselves or other users. It was created by David Baszucki and Erik Cassel in 2004, and released to the public in 2006. As of February 202...
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📄 Original Source Content
TD Cowen has reiterated its Sell rating and $70.00 price target on Roblox Corp. (NYSE:RBLX) following the company’s fourth-quarter results. The stock currently trades at $61.28, having fallen nearly 8% over the past week, though data suggests the stock is in oversold territory. The research firm noted that Roblox’s Q4 bookings were almost exactly in line with its estimates but expressed concerns about the company’s engagement trends since last summer’s peak. Despite these concerns, Roblox has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 35.77% over the last twelve months. TD Cowen characterized the fiscal year 2026 guidance provided by Roblox as quite aspirational based on current engagement data, highlighting very soft trends since December relative to seasonal norms. The firm stated that while recent fears about AI disruption affecting video game stocks are unwarranted, it believes there is an uncomfortably high risk of a guidance miss for the company. TD Cowen acknowledged being conflicted on the stock, but ultimately maintained its Sell rating due to concerns that management’s FY26 guidance is at risk, which could create an increasingly uncomfortable overhang unless engagement trends improve. Roblox Corp. has been the focus of several other analyst adjustments following its fourth-quarter results. Jefferies lowered its price target for Roblox to $70, citing better-than-expected bookings and what it called a likely conservative first-quarter bookings guidance. Oppenheimer also reduced its price target to $130, noting that Roblox’s bookings of $2.22 billion exceeded consensus estimates and showed a 63% year-over-year growth. Meanwhile, UBS adjusted its price target to $74 due to concerns over competition from artificial intelligence in the gaming sector. Needham decreased its target to $105, attributing the change to a broad technology sector sell-off but remains optimistic about Roblox’s fundamentals. On a more positive note, Freedom Capital Markets upgraded Roblox...