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Touching Base: Cubs Have a Revamped Look and Even Bigger Expectations
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Touching Base: Cubs Have a Revamped Look and Even Bigger Expectations

#Chicago Cubs #NL Central #Alex Bregman #Edward Cabrera #projection models #Milwaukee Brewers #Freddy Peralta #playoffs

📌 Key Takeaways

  • The Chicago Cubs have significantly raised expectations for the 2026 season after breaking a four-year playoff drought and making key offseason additions.
  • Cubs owner Tom Ricketts and players explicitly state the goal is to win the NL Central division, a sentiment supported by major projection models.
  • The Cubs strengthened their roster by adding Alex Bregman to the lineup and Edward Cabrera to the pitching staff, while also revamping their bullpen.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers, the three-time defending division champions, are projected to regress after trading away key players like ace Freddy Peralta.

📖 Full Retelling

Expectations are rising on the North Side of Chicago. After breaking a four-year playoff drought, the Cubs know that simply getting a spot in the dance won’t be enough in 2026. Not after the breakouts of Pete Crow-Armstrong and Cade Horton. Not after the additions of Alex Bregman and Edward Cabrera. And not after losing in the National League Division Series to a Brewers team that won the NL Central for a third straight year. "Everyone had high expectations last year, and I think they’re higher this year," Cubs owner Tom Ricketts acknowledged to reporters last month. "Obviously, we want to win the division. We should win the division." His players stand by that assessment. "I fully expect us to win the division," new Cubs reliever Hoby Milner echoed this spring. "I would assume everyone else expects us to win the division." They do, at least according to most projection systems. If the Brewers are going to shock the world again by winning a fourth straight division title, it will require defying the models. Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA standings project the Cubs for 90.5 wins and the Brewers for 82.2. BetMGM set the over/under for Cubs wins at 88.5 and the Brewers at 84.5. FanGraphs gives the Cubs a 43.1% chance to win the NL Central this year. There’s a reason for all of that, beyond the typical Milwaukee neglect. The Brewers traded away from their big-league roster, dealing ace Freddy Peralta to the Mets and 2025 standout Caleb Durbin to the Red Sox. The Cubs, meanwhile, continued building this winter in search of their first division title since the shortened 2020 season. They needed another difference-maker in the lineup after Kyle Tucker hit free agency, and they added Bregman. They sought another impact arm, and they traded for Cabrera. They watched most of their relievers depart and replaced them with new ones, including a trio of arms in Phil Maton, Jacob Webb and Milner who helped lift a Rangers bullpen that defied expectations in 2025 by producing the fifth

🏷️ Themes

Team Expectations, Roster Changes

📚 Related People & Topics

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs

Major League Baseball franchise in Chicago, Illinois

The Chicago Cubs are an American professional baseball team based in Chicago. The Cubs compete in Major League Baseball (MLB) as a member club of the National League (NL) Central Division. The club plays its home games at Wrigley Field, which is located on Chicago's North Side.

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗
Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

American baseball player (born 1994)

Alexander David Bregman (born March 30, 1994) is an American professional baseball third baseman for the Chicago Cubs of Major League Baseball (MLB). He has previously played in MLB for the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox. As a high school sophomore at Albuquerque Academy in 2010, Bregman became t...

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗
Edward Cabrera

Edward Cabrera

Dominican baseball player (born 1998)

Edward Brany Cabrera (born April 13, 1998) is a Dominican professional baseball pitcher for the Chicago Cubs of Major League Baseball (MLB). He has previously played in MLB for the Miami Marlins. He signed with the Marlins as an international free agent in 2015, and made his MLB debut in 2021.

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗

National League Central

Division of Major League Baseball

The National League Central is one of Major League Baseball's six divisions. This division was created in 1994, by moving two teams from the National League West (the Cincinnati Reds and the Houston Astros) and three teams from the National League East (the Chicago Cubs, the Pittsburgh Pirates, and ...

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗

Milwaukee Brewers

Major League Baseball franchise in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The Milwaukee Brewers are an American professional baseball team based in Milwaukee. The Brewers compete in Major League Baseball (MLB) as a member club of the Central Division of the National League (NL). The team's name alludes to the city's association with the brewing industry and has been used ...

View Profile → Wikipedia ↗

Entity Intersection Graph

Connections for Chicago Cubs:

👤 Alex Bregman 1 shared
👤 Edward Cabrera 1 shared
👤 Nico Hoerner 1 shared
👤 Gold Glove Award 1 shared
👤 World Series 1 shared
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Mentioned Entities

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs

Major League Baseball franchise in Chicago, Illinois

Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

American baseball player (born 1994)

Edward Cabrera

Edward Cabrera

Dominican baseball player (born 1998)

National League Central

Division of Major League Baseball

Milwaukee Brewers

Major League Baseball franchise in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Deep Analysis

Why It Matters

This news matters because it highlights the Chicago Cubs' aggressive moves to transform from a playoff contender into a division favorite, reflecting high stakes in Major League Baseball's competitive landscape. It affects Cubs fans, players, and management who are under pressure to deliver results, as well as the Milwaukee Brewers and other NL Central teams facing heightened competition. The financial and emotional investments in star acquisitions and roster overhauls underscore the team's commitment to ending a division title drought, making this a pivotal season for the franchise's trajectory and fan expectations.

Context & Background

  • The Cubs broke a four-year playoff drought in 2025 but lost in the National League Division Series to the Brewers, who have won the NL Central for three consecutive years.
  • The Cubs' last division title was in the shortened 2020 season, indicating a longer-term struggle to dominate their division despite recent playoff appearances.
  • Key player developments include breakouts from prospects like Pete Crow-Armstrong and Cade Horton, alongside significant offseason additions such as Alex Bregman and Edward Cabrera to bolster the roster.
  • The Brewers have weakened their roster by trading away key players like ace Freddy Peralta and standout Caleb Durbin, shifting the competitive balance in the NL Central.
  • Projection systems like PECOTA and FanGraphs consistently favor the Cubs over the Brewers for the 2026 season, reflecting analytical confidence in Chicago's revamped lineup and pitching staff.

What Happens Next

The 2026 MLB season will unfold with the Cubs aiming to validate projections by winning the NL Central, while the Brewers attempt to defy odds for a fourth straight title. Key dates include Opening Day in early April, midseason trade deadlines in July, and potential playoff matchups in October. Developments to watch include the performance of new additions like Alex Bregman and Edward Cabrera, the health and consistency of breakout stars, and whether the Cubs' bullpen reinforcements can sustain success throughout the season.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are expectations higher for the Cubs in 2026 compared to last year?

Expectations are higher due to key player breakouts, significant offseason additions like Alex Bregman and Edward Cabrera, and the Brewers' roster weakening through trades, making the Cubs the projected favorites in the NL Central.

What are the main challenges the Cubs face in winning the division?

The Cubs must integrate new players seamlessly, maintain bullpen stability after reliever departures, and overcome the Brewers' recent dominance, all while managing high pressure from ownership and fans to end their division title drought.

How do projection systems view the Cubs' chances in 2026?

Projection systems like PECOTA and FanGraphs favor the Cubs, with PECOTA forecasting 90.5 wins and a 43.1% chance to win the NL Central, reflecting confidence in their revamped roster and the Brewers' decline.

What impact did the Brewers' offseason moves have on the NL Central race?

The Brewers' trades of ace Freddy Peralta and standout Caleb Durbin weakened their roster, shifting the competitive balance and making it harder for them to contend, which benefits the Cubs' division title aspirations.

Who are the key new players for the Cubs in 2026?

Key additions include Alex Bregman, who adds offensive power to the lineup, and Edward Cabrera, an impact arm in the rotation, along with bullpen reinforcements like Phil Maton, Jacob Webb, and Hoby Milner to stabilize relief pitching.

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Original Source
Expectations are rising on the North Side of Chicago. After breaking a four-year playoff drought, the Cubs know that simply getting a spot in the dance won’t be enough in 2026. Not after the breakouts of Pete Crow-Armstrong and Cade Horton. Not after the additions of Alex Bregman and Edward Cabrera. And not after losing in the National League Division Series to a Brewers team that won the NL Central for a third straight year. "Everyone had high expectations last year, and I think they’re higher this year," Cubs owner Tom Ricketts acknowledged to reporters last month. "Obviously, we want to win the division. We should win the division." His players stand by that assessment. "I fully expect us to win the division," new Cubs reliever Hoby Milner echoed this spring. "I would assume everyone else expects us to win the division." They do, at least according to most projection systems. If the Brewers are going to shock the world again by winning a fourth straight division title, it will require defying the models. Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA standings project the Cubs for 90.5 wins and the Brewers for 82.2. BetMGM set the over/under for Cubs wins at 88.5 and the Brewers at 84.5. FanGraphs gives the Cubs a 43.1% chance to win the NL Central this year. There’s a reason for all of that, beyond the typical Milwaukee neglect. The Brewers traded away from their big-league roster, dealing ace Freddy Peralta to the Mets and 2025 standout Caleb Durbin to the Red Sox. The Cubs, meanwhile, continued building this winter in search of their first division title since the shortened 2020 season. They needed another difference-maker in the lineup after Kyle Tucker hit free agency, and they added Bregman. They sought another impact arm, and they traded for Cabrera. They watched most of their relievers depart and replaced them with new ones, including a trio of arms in Phil Maton, Jacob Webb and Milner who helped lift a Rangers bullpen that defied expectations in 2025 by producing the fifth
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