DAVID MARCUS: Brave new world of prediction markets can make us all inside traders

When I was born in the 1970s, legal gambling was basically limited to Las Vegas, Atlantic City and horse racing. Then came Indian casinos, and finally, the floodgates opened with online gambling.
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When I was born in the 1970s, legal gambling was basically limited to Las Vegas, Atlantic City and horse racing. Then came Indian casinos, and finally, the floodgates opened with online gambling. Nowadays, with the advent of prediction markets, we can lay down a marker on almost any event on Earth.One serious upshot of the rise of companies like Kalshi and Polymarket, which would be happy to set up a market to see if Lindy’s sells more cheesecake or strudel today, is that far, far more people have the feedbox noise than ever before. To paraphrase Andy Warhol, in the future, everyone will have inside information on a prediction market for 15 minutes.Take a market like "Who will win the reality TV show "Big Brother?" Dozens, maybe even hundreds of people know this answer, thousands probably have inside info, and while, if they say anything out loud they will get sued into oblivion, what's to stop them from telling their cousin, "Hey, drop a few thousand on this contestant?"GREED MEETS GREED: DRAFTKINGS TO CLOSE ITS WRIGLEY FIELD SPORTSBOOK AT THE END OF MAY OVER ILLINOIS TAXThis isn’t a hypothetical anymore.
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- When I was born in the 1970s, legal gambling was basically limited to Las Vegas, Atlantic City and horse racing. Then came Indian casinos, and finally, the floodgates opened with online gambling.
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DAVID MARCUS: Brave new world of prediction markets can make us all inside traders
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