More Than $116 Million Has Already Been Bet on the Oscars — and It’s Only Friday Afternoon
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Prediction-markets websites Kalshi and Polymarket are fielding a lot of action on Sunday's Academy Awards — but how accurate are they?
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Share on Facebook Share on X Google Preferred Share to Flipboard Show additional share options Share on LinkedIn Share on Pinterest Share on Reddit Share on Tumblr Share on Whats App Send an Email Print the Article Post a Comment As of 1 p.m. ET on Friday, March 13, 2026, $54.8 million had been bet on the Oscars on prediction-market website Kashi. At about the same hour, on competitor Polymarket , $61.4 million was already on the line . Bets will grow “exponentially” over the weekend, a Kalshi rep tells The Hollywood Reporter . Among the top prop bets on Kalshi, “ Who will attend the Oscars? ” has a lot of action. There, you can choose the locks, like Heated Rivalry star Hudson Williams (he’s already been reported as attending , for some reason), One Battle After Another star Leonardo DiCaprio, or Kylie Jenner, who is Timothée Chalamet’s ( Marty Supreme ) partner. Related Stories Lifestyle Top Stylists Spill Secrets on the "Style Arc" of Awards Season Movies Chadwick Boseman's Widow Shares Acceptance Speech She Would Have Given Had He Won Oscar Zendaya is another probable attendant, perhaps as a presenter or to support partner Tom Holland in his Marvel Cinematic Universe reunion — or both. Sean Penn ( One Battle After Another ), Olivia Jade (Jacob Elordi’s partner), Hailee Steinfeld (not a nominee, but a star of the heavily-nominated Sinners ), Ryan Gosling, Margot Robbie, Connor Storrie ( Heated Rivalry ), Kevin Hart, and Taylor Swift are less likely seat fillers, in exactly that descending order. A newer market has opened on Kalshi covering what Academy Awards host Conan O’Brien will mention from the stage. “Hollywood” and Chalamet are the slam dunks, with Netflix, Warner Bros., and AI all more likely than not to be uttered. Hulu, “podcast,” Jeffrey Epstein, President Trump, ICE, and Will Smith are also on the board, with probabilities lowering respectively. You’ll remember why Smith might be somewhat top of mind each time the Oscars come back around. The awards-a...
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