#Prediction Markets

Articles (30)

• 🇺🇸 Insider trading or random guy? It doesn’t matter to Polymarket — 02/04/2026 [USA]

  In mid-March, conspiracy theories swirled claiming Benjamin Netanyahu had been replaced by an AI clone. Though there was no actual proof that the Israeli Prime Minister had been injured or killed, on ...

  Related: #Conspiracy Theories
• 🇺🇸 As hoops betting spikes, it's New Hampshire and other states vs. prediction markets — 02/04/2026 [USA]

  In New Hampshire and states with legalized sports gambling, wagering helps fund government services. But now competitors like Kalshi and Polymarket are getting a cut of the action.

  Related: #Sports Betting
• 🇺🇸 Can you monitor a situation without monitors? The Polymarket sports bar tried — 25/03/2026 [USA]

  Hello and welcome to Regulator, a newsletter for Verge readers who are political junkies, and Washington insiders hooked on technology. If this email has been forwarded to you but you're not a subscri...

  Related: #Tech Policy
• 🇺🇸 Noah Gardenswartz To Host Weekly Prediction Market Comedy Series — 23/03/2026 [USA]

  EXCLUSIVE: Prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi have exploded over the last twelve months. This has encouraged comedian Noah Gardenswartz to launch a weekly comedy series tracking the craz...

  Related: #Comedy
• 🇺🇸 Nevada judge blocks Kalshi from offering event contracts in state — 20/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Legal Block
• 🇺🇸 Kalshi Has Been Temporarily Banned in Nevada — 20/03/2026 [USA]

  A judge ordered Kalshi to immediately halt sports and election contracts in the state, intensifying a growing regulatory battle over prediction markets.

  Related: #Regulation
• 🇺🇸 Prediction markets are trying to lure journalists with partnership deals — 19/03/2026 [USA]

  Prediction markets are working to ingratiate themselves with mainstream news and culture: The Golden Globes broadcast in January was plastered with Polymarket odds, the AP is licensing election data t...

  Related: #Media Partnerships
• 🇺🇸 Prediction Markets Claimed an Oscar Victory. The Reality Was Messier. — 18/03/2026 [USA]

  The recent explosion of Kalshi and Polymarket meant Oscar gambling and interest skyrocketed, but these weren’t the healthy predictive markets we've been promised.

  Related: #Oscars
• 🇬🇧 Polymarket gamblers threaten Israeli journalist over missile strike story — 18/03/2026 [United Kingdom]

  <p>Emanuel Fabian says his routine report became focus of wager with $23m at stake on online prediction platform</p><p>An Israeli journalist received threatening messages from users of the online pred...

  Related: #Journalist Safety
• 🇺🇸 Arizona hits Kalshi with criminal charges, escalating fight between states and prediction markets — 17/03/2026 [USA]

  Arizona became the first state to file criminal charges against Kalshi on Tuesday, accusing the prediction market company of operating an illegal gambling business within its borders, a significant es...

  Related: #Regulatory Conflict
• 🇺🇸 Arizona Files Criminal Charges Against Kalshi Prediction Market Alleging an “Illegal Gambling Operation” — 17/03/2026 [USA]

  Kalshi calls the charges "gamesmanship" and "meritless."

  Related: #Legal Action
• 🇺🇸 Arizona Files Criminal Charges Against Kalshi, the Prediction Site — 17/03/2026 [USA]

  The state accused Kalshi on Tuesday of operating an illegal gambling business, escalating the legal battle between states and prediction markets.

  Related: #Legal Action
• 🇺🇸 Polymarket and Kalshi Got the Oscars About 80 Percent Right — 16/03/2026 [USA]

  The predictions markets got the same five categories (of 24) wrong.

  Related: #Entertainment Awards
• 🇺🇸 Coinsilium invests $150,000 in prediction markets startup — 16/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Investment
• 🇺🇸 40 People Took 1% Odds on Kalshi on a Rare Oscars Tie for Live Action Short Film — 16/03/2026 [USA]

  On Kalshi, the biggest upset of Oscar night came in the short film category, where a tie was given a 1% of chance of paying off. But then “The Singers” and “Two People Exchanging Saliva” shared in the...

  Related: #Entertainment Betting
• 🇺🇸 Prediction markets want the Oscars to be your gateway drug to betting on everything — 14/03/2026 [USA]

  Though it was weird to see the Golden Globes partner with Polymarket for its most recent awards show, the collaboration wasn't shocking given the way that people have begun using prediction markets to...

  Related: #Gambling Culture
• 🇺🇸 With boom in prediction markets, some lawmakers worry about how to police themselves — 14/03/2026 [USA]

  House and Senate ethics committees give no financial disclosure guidance on event contracts or prediction markets — unlike stock, cryptocurrency and bond trades.

  Related: #Ethics, #Financial Regulation, #Government Transparency
• 🇺🇸 Jay Clayton on regulating prediction markets: My prosecutors are looking at what laws we can use — 09/03/2026 [USA]

  Jay Clayton, U.S. Attorney for Southern District of New York and former SEC chair, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the violence outside New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's residence, Anthropic's battle...

  Related: #Regulation
• 🇺🇸 Opinion: The immorality of betting on war — 07/03/2026 [USA]

  Traders on prediction markets bet on nearly anything. One made more than half a million dollars betting on the U.S. strike against Iran. But should people wager on human suffering?

  Related: #Ethics
• 🇺🇸 Kalshi sued over ouster of Iran leader prediction market — 06/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Legal
• 🇺🇸 The Kalshi and Polymarket CEO feud: They hate each other — 06/03/2026 [USA]

  The 20-something billionaires who run Kalshi and Polymarket are battling it out to be the top prediction market company. Observers and former insiders say the feud is just heating up.

  Related: #Corporate Rivalry
• 🇬🇧 From byelections to regime change: how gambling on any event fuelled the rise of prediction markets — 06/03/2026 [United Kingdom]

  <p>What are Polymarket and Kalshi? What are the odds on US-style exchanges taking off in the UK? Here’s the lowdown</p><p>As ballistic missiles and kamikaze drones rained down on the Middle East, one ...

  Related: #Gambling Expansion
• 🇺🇸 Kalshi faces backlash over handling of $54M market on Khamenei’s ouster — 05/03/2026 [USA]

  The prediction market Kalshi is facing pushback over its handling of more than $54 million in trades on the ouster of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, after he was killed in U.S. and Isr...

  Related: #Political Controversy
• 🇺🇸 Prediction markets in the news are a dangerous gamble — 05/03/2026 [USA]

  Today on Decoder, let’s talk about prediction markets, which continue to insert themselves into the news cycle and the news itself in increasingly weird, unsettling, and potentially illegal ways.  My ...

  Related: #Insider Trading, #Gambling Regulation, #News Integrity
• 🇺🇸 Polymarket users won big with unusual bets on US attack on Iran — 03/03/2026 [USA]

  FT analysis identifies 12 accounts on platform that made large well-timed wagers just ahead of start of conflict

  Related: #Geopolitical Speculation, #Information Flow
• 🇺🇸 Wagers draw scrutiny after Iran strikes: "Insider trading," senator says — 02/03/2026 [USA]

  Lawmakers are raising concerns that prediction market users are engaging in insider trading to wager on U.S. military actions.

  Related: #Insider Trading, #Military Betting, #Ethics of Speculation
• 🇺🇸 Kalshi voids some bets on Khamenei’s ouster because it’s ‘directly tied to death’ — 01/03/2026 [USA]

  In a statement on X, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said his company would pay out positions on "Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?" at the last trading price before his death. Mansour said that Kalshi doe...

  Related: #Ethics of Betting, #Regulatory Compliance, #International Politics
• 🇺🇸 Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’ — 28/02/2026 [USA]

  Polymarket has been allowing people to bet on when the US would strike Iran next. Obviously, now that it's actually happened and people have died, the prediction betting market is feeling some pressur...

  Related: #Ethics in Technology, #Media Criticism, #Geopolitical Betting
• 🇺🇸 Xmarket Launches Beta on BNB Chain Mainnet: The First Prediction Market That Pays Creators and Early Believers — 27/02/2026 [USA] Related: #Decentralization, #Creator Economy, #Blockchain Innovation
• 🇺🇸 Polymarket is back in the U.S. with a free grocery store—what to know about it and other prediction markets — 14/02/2026 [USA]

  Prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi let users win money by correctly guessing the outcome of practically any event.

  Related: #Financial Innovation, #Regulatory Landscape