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What’s behind these wild new wealth-tax proposals?
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What’s behind these wild new wealth-tax proposals?

#Wealth tax #Capital flight #Fiscal responsibility #California ballot initiative #Unrealized gains #Billionaire tax #Economic stagnation

📌 Key Takeaways

  • Proposed wealth taxes in California and New York City aim to fill budget gaps by targeting the net worth of a small number of billionaires.
  • Economic critics argue that wealth taxes lead to capital flight and reduced investment, which harms productivity and wage growth for all workers.
  • Historical precedents in Europe show that wealth taxes often fail to meet revenue goals and are frequently repealed due to administrative complexity.
  • Opponents claim these taxes are a symptom of fiscal irresponsibility, serving as a distraction from the need to control government spending growth.

📖 Full Retelling

Economist Veronique de Rugy issued a sharp critique on February 5, 2026, regarding new wealth-tax proposals in California, Illinois, and New York City, arguing that these measures fail to address the root cause of fiscal instability: uncontrolled government spending. As California voters prepare for a November ballot initiative proposing a one-time 5% tax on billionaires' net worth, and leaders in New York and Illinois explore similar levies on unrealized gains, de Rugy warns that these policies overlook the mobility of capital and the existing tax contributions of high earners. The push for these taxes serves as a political alternative to making difficult budget cuts in jurisdictions facing significant deficits, such as New York City’s $12 billion budget gap. The analysis highlights that wealth taxes are uniquely damaging because most billionaire wealth is held in illiquid assets, such as ownership stakes in businesses, rather than idle cash. Forcing the sale of these assets to pay a tax can trigger secondary capital gains liabilities and discourage the very investment needed for broader economic growth. De Rugy points to the historical failure of similar projects in Europe, where most wealth taxes were eventually repealed or narrowed due to disappointing revenue growth, administrative costs, and significant capital flight as the wealthy moved their assets to more favorable jurisdictions. Furthermore, the report suggests that the "one-time" nature of these taxes is often a fiscal illusion. When revenue inevitably falls short of projections due to the exit of high-net-worth individuals, policymakers frequently expand the tax to reach lower brackets of wealth rather than reducing expenditures. Ultimately, the burden of these policies may fall on the general workforce; while the wealthy are mobile enough to relocate, workers remain stationary and face fewer job opportunities and stagnant wages as productivity-driving investments disappear.

🏷️ Themes

Fiscal Policy, Economic Theory, Wealth Inequality

📚 Related People & Topics

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Capital flight

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📄 Original Source Content
By Veronique de Rugy Contributing writer Feb. 5, 2026 10 AM PT 6 min Click here to listen to this article Share via Close extra sharing options Email Facebook X LinkedIn Threads Reddit WhatsApp Copy Link URL Copied! Print 0:00 0:00 1x This is read by an automated voice. Please report any issues or inconsistencies here . p]:text-cms-story-body-color-text clearfix max-w-170 mt-7.5 mb-10 mx-auto" data-subscriber-content> When government grows to dominate ever-larger shares of the economy and when politicians refuse to be responsible about what they spend, there’s a predictable next move: insist that the problem is “the rich” not paying enough. Never mind that high earners already shoulder a disproportionate share of the tax burden. Never mind that relying on a small and mobile group of people for the bulk of your revenue makes public finances more volatile, not more stable. No, once spending is treated as untouchable and restraint as politically impossible, it’s only a matter of time before politics demands more, more, more. More taxes and more distortion. This helps explain why the wild new forms of wealth taxes are popping up. California voters are heading toward a November ballot fight over the so-called “one-time” 5% tax on billionaires’ net worth, tied to residency on a date that’s already passed . Illinois lawmakers recently flirted with a tax on unrealized gains — think of stocks yet to be sold at fluctuating prices that only exist on paper — before retreating. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani wants a wealth tax to help close the city’s roughly $12-billion budget gap. And prominent progressive Democrats have explicitly endorsed national wealth taxes (e.g., proposals from Sen. Elizabeth Warren). Advertisement Different places, same impulse: Avoid hard fiscal decisions by squeezing a narrow group harder. A wealth tax is not like the income or consumption taxes we’re used to. In theory, it’s a cut of a person’s entire stock of assets (less their liabilities). In ...

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