#Economic Risk

Articles (28)

• 🇺🇸 Oil whiplash: Iran war shock to flip market to deficit in 2026, analysts say — 10/04/2026 [USA] Related: #Geopolitics, #Energy Markets
• 🇺🇸 A giant succession wave is coming for family businesses — 09/04/2026 [USA]

  Many will not survive

  Related: #Business Succession, #Generational Change
• 🇺🇸 Trump warns of major war escalation if Iran peace process fails — 09/04/2026 [USA] Related: #Geopolitics, #Energy Security
• 🇺🇸 In China, a rush to 'raise lobsters' quickly leads to second thoughts — 23/03/2026 [USA]

  OpenClaw, a highly autonomous open-source AI agent, is especially popular in China, but security concerns have both users and the government seeking to rein it in.

  Related: #Aquaculture
• 🇺🇸 Collapse of U.S. shipbuilding poses national and economic security risks | 60 Minutes — 22/03/2026 [USA]

  China rolls out over 1,000 cargo ships a year, while the U.S. – maybe three. The Trump administration has called this a crisis with both economic and national security risks.

  Related: #National Security, #Industrial Decline
• 🇺🇸 Trump Is Totally Ignoring the Lessons of the Last Oil Crisis — 20/03/2026 [USA]

  Gas prices are soaring amid the war against Iran. The president's war on energy efficiency isn't helping

  Related: #Energy Policy
• 🇺🇸 JPMorgan cuts official S&P 500 forecast, noting rising recession risk from oil shock — 19/03/2026 [USA]

  Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, the firm's head of global markets strategy, now expects the S&P 500 will end the year at 7,200, instead of 7,500.

  Related: #Market Forecast
• 🇺🇸 BOJ leaves interest rates unchanged as expected; warns on oil prices, inflation — 19/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Monetary Policy
• 🇺🇸 Stagflation risk is rising by the day. Bank of America says these stocks can weather it — 18/03/2026 [USA]

  These companies could get through a period of low growth and rising inflation.

  Related: #Investment Strategy
• 🇺🇸 Moody's economist warns recession is once again a 'serious threat' — 18/03/2026 [USA]

  A recession will be "difficult to avoid" if oil prices remain elevated for much longer, Moody's Mark Zandi wrote Monday.

  Related: #Recession Warning
• 🇺🇸 Investors rip up European boom bets as stagflation fears soar on Iran war oil shock — 18/03/2026 [USA]

  Bank of America's latest European Fund Manager survey suggests stagflation is now the consensus view for the coming months.

  Related: #Geopolitical Tensions
• 🇺🇸 Goldman Sachs warns of spike in unemployment, slowed economic growth from Iran war — 17/03/2026 [USA]

  Since the start of the Iran war, gas prices have increased by 27%, and diesel prices have increased by 34%. Justin Wolfers, professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan, join...

  Related: #Geopolitics
• 🇺🇸 Some economists are warning about ‘stagflation.’ What it could mean for your money — 17/03/2026 [USA]

  Conflict in Iran has sent oil prices up, prompting some experts to worry that a worst-case scenario called stagflation could be possible for the U.S. economy.

  Related: #Personal Finance
• 🇺🇸 Morning Bid: Central banks gird for oil shocks as RBA votes 5-4 to hike — 17/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Monetary Policy
• 🇺🇸 What Would It Take to Tip the Economy into Recession? — 15/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Policy Impact
• 🇺🇸 Iran war oil shock stokes fears of 1970s-style stagflation — why this time could be different — 13/03/2026 [USA]

  Some investors are drawing comparisons with the 1970s to interpret where markets are headed in 2026, but there are several key differences to note this time around.

  Related: #Energy Markets
• 🇺🇸 India’s buffers may be tested by prolonged oil price shock, ANZ says — 12/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Energy Security
• 🇺🇸 Market volatility can amplify shocks to euro zone economy, ECB’s VP warns — 11/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Financial Stability
• 🇺🇸 Abundant Intelligence and Deficient Demand: A Macro-Financial Stress Test of Rapid AI Adoption — 11/03/2026 [USA]

  arXiv:2603.09209v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We formalize a macro-financial stress test for rapid AI adoption. Rather than a productivity bust or existential risk, we identify a distribution-and-c...

  Related: #AI Adoption
• 🇬🇧 Middle East crisis could push UK inflation back up to 3%, warns OBR — 10/03/2026 [United Kingdom]

  <p>Government economic watchdog believes pressure on energy prices could push rate close to 3% by end of 2026</p><p>UK inflation could end the year higher than previously expected at 3% because of the...

  Related: #Geopolitical Impact
• 🇺🇸 Fears of 1970s-style stagflation arise with oil spike to $100. How big a threat is it? — 09/03/2026 [USA]

  High inflation and slow growth present a double threat, as measures like interest rate cuts and government spending only aggravate inflation.

  Related: #Energy Markets
• 🇺🇸 As Oil Prices Rise, Trump’s War With Iran Becomes a Worldwide Economic Hazard — 09/03/2026 [USA]

  The president insists conflict with Iran will be brief, but world leaders are preparing for severe economic blowback.

  Related: #Geopolitical Conflict
• 🇺🇸 Recession odds jump on Kalshi after oil tops $100 — 09/03/2026 [USA]

  Prediction market bettors are increasingly expecting the U.S. economy to enter a recession.

  Related: #Energy Markets
• 🇺🇸 Yardeni raises meltdown odds as Polymarket now sees 37% U.S. recession risk — 09/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Market Predictions
• 🇺🇸 Can euro zone growth withstand the energy shock? Barclays weighs risks — 09/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Energy Crisis
• 🇬🇧 UK must be prepared for a price shock from the Iran war | Heather Stewart — 08/03/2026 [United Kingdom]

  <p>Governments are having to wake up to the fact they will have to take a closer interest in supply chains for essentials</p><ul><li><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/mar/08/oil-pr...

  Related: #Geopolitics
• 🇺🇸 Deutsche Bank: Middle East energy shock could derail BoE’s disinflation path — 08/03/2026 [USA] Related: #Monetary Policy
• 🇺🇸 ECB’s Panetta says Chinese imports helped drive sharper‑than‑forecast inflation drop — 21/02/2026 [USA] Related: #Monetary Policy, #Inflation, #Global Trade