Iran proves that it might change its military leaders, but it’s not changing strategy
Military appointments in authoritarian states, particularly during wartime, reveal priorities, threat perceptions, institutional loyalties and leadership fears. The new military and security hierarchy under Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei should therefore be read as more than the reconstruction of a command structure damaged by war.It is an order of battle with two purposes: confronting the United States and Israel abroad and preserving the Islamic Republic against instability at home.
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Military appointments in authoritarian states, particularly during wartime, reveal priorities, threat perceptions, institutional loyalties and leadership fears. The new military and security hierarchy under Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei should therefore be read as more than the reconstruction of a command structure damaged by war.It is an order of battle with two purposes: confronting the United States and Israel abroad and preserving the Islamic Republic against instability at home. Those elevated are not a postwar generation seeking accommodation with Iran’s adversaries, but veterans of the revolutionary-security establishment, formed through war, intelligence operations, ideological conflict, asymmetric warfare and domestic coercion.Claims that leadership decapitation has produced meaningful regime change in Tehran should be treated with caution. Commanders have died, offices changed hands and a new supreme leader replaced the old one, but regime change is not the replacement of individuals.
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- What's the story?
- Military appointments in authoritarian states, particularly during wartime, reveal priorities, threat perceptions, institutional loyalties and leadership fears. The new military and security hierarchy under Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei should therefore be read as more than the reconstruction of a command structure damaged by war.It is an order of battle with two purposes: confronting the United States and Israel abroad and preserving the Islamic Republic against instability at home.
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- 1 outlet, average source rating 6.0/10.
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- 11m ago.
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Iran proves that it might change its military leaders, but it’s not changing strategy
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